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Dr Scott Gottlieb, former FDA commissioner, said on "Face the Nation",
"We are probably only picking up 1 in 7 or 8 infections, because people are using home tests which never get reported.
As of December 4th The Omicron variant had been detected in at least 38 countries but no deaths have yet been reported.
North America and Europe are still well off their highs of 450 and 350 cases per million per day.
Africa's cases cases are concentrated in 6 countries, Tunisia, Nambia, South Africa, Botswana, Libia and Zambia, where the combined case rate is 350 per day per million.
I started this to compare states and counties in N. California where I have friends and family and added some international rates for perspective.
The rest of it has grown as I found interesting charts over the last year and a half.
Some charts here are only updated every several weeks,
but you can click on the chart to get the current version.
Variants | Dates | Peak daily infection rate per 100,000/ Daily Deaths per 1M |
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---|---|---|---|---|---|
N. America | Europe | S. America | USA | ||
Alpha | March 2020 - July 2021 | 47/8 | 39/7 | 33/11 | 76/10 |
Delta | July 2021 - Nov. 2021 | 33/5 | 50/5 | 18/5 | 50/6 |
Omicron * | December 2021 - | 150/5 | 207/4 | 89/4 | 241/7 |
Cumulative to February 2 | |||||
% Infected | 14.9% | 17.6% | 11.3% | 22.7% | |
Deaths per Million | 2,188 | 2,174 | 2,807 | 2,688 |
Asia and Africa account for 76% of the world population but only 23% of the deaths.
Oceana has one of the highest infection rates as of January 2022, because of an outbreak in Australia, but over the course of the virus they have the lowest total death rate, 148 per million, of any continent.
There are multiple sources of data giving information about the number of SARS-CoV-2 infections in the population, but all have major drawbacks, including biases and delayed reporting. For example, the number of confirmed cases largely underestimates the number of infections, and deaths lag infections substantially, while test positivity rates tend to greatly overestimate prevalence.
From Estimating SARS-CoV-2 infections from deaths, confirmed cases, tests, and random surveys Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences July 2021
See Actual Deaths below.
- North America includes Central America, the Caribbean and Greenland.
- Oceania [½ of 1% of the world population] includes Australia (59% of the population), Melanesia (Papua New Guinea, Fiji, Solomon Islands, ...), Micronesia (Marshal Islands, ...), and Polynesia (New Zealand, Samoa, ... )
I started this chart as the Omicron surge was growing to show how countries were following a similar patern.
I kept it because they were generally indicative of Europe and North America.
I added New Zealand and Taiwan because they were traditionally the lowest in the world and were having a surge in May.
See more countries below.
Source: OurWorldInData
Regional Cumulative Death Rates
1,000 deaths per million is 0.1% of the population.
Cumulative Deaths per Million June 2, 2022 - Selected Countries
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* Deaths are significantly undercounted. See Death Rates below
Mexico and Russia were significantly undercounted in a May 2021 U. Washington Study below.
If you account for that, Russia would have 8,400 deaths per million, Mexico would have 4,700 deaths per million and India would have 3,600 deaths per million per a July 2021 Wall Street Journal report.
China could be up to 130
Deaths in other countries could be up to 40% higher.
South Korea traditionally has had one of the least number of new cases. The Omicron outbreak has raised their new cases to a record level. They started their Omicron surge a month later than most countries and have flattened the curve with a lower rate of increase.
The number of cases is increasing but at a slow rate not exponentially like it did at the beginning of omicron. The rates are low; Not close to the 200-300 at the peak of omicron.
Wastewater Surveillance
The US is leading developed countries with the death rate for Omicron:
Unvaccinated are 14 Times More Likely to Die From COVID | WebMD
Summary
Regional Per Capita Rate of new infections:
Regional Cumulative Death Rates
- Oceania [½ of 1% of the world population] includes Australia (59% of the population), Melanesia (Papua New Guinea, Fiji, Solomon Islands, ...), Micronesia (Marshal Islands, ...), and Polynesia (New Zealand, Samoa, ... )
All Countries:
Total cases per day
Some charts here are only updated every several weeks,
but you can click on the chart to get the current version.
World Summary:
- North America includes Central America, the Caribbean and Greenland.
Regional Stats and some countries of interest.
Jan 14
Place | Popu- lation M | Cases | Deaths | Cases | Deaths | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Total | Total | % of popu- lation | New /100K | Total /1M |
||
Europe | 748 | 102,488,473 | 1,568,273 | 13.7% | 150 | 2,097 |
UK | 68 | 15,066,395 | 151,612 | 22.2% | 183 | 2,230 |
Germany | 84 | 7,885,229 | 116,098 | 9.4% | 76 | 1,382 |
France | 65 | 13,569,675 | 126,721 | 20.8% | 421 | 1,941 |
Italy | 60 | 8,356,514 | 140,548 | 13.8% | 279 | 2,327 |
Russia | 146 | 10,747,125 | 319,911 | 7.4% | 125 | 2,191 |
Ireland | 5 | 1,078,181 | 6,035 | 21.5% | 423 | 1,202 |
Israel | 9 | 1,718,989 | 8,298 | 18.5% | 393 | 892 |
S. America | 435 | 42,651,273 | 1,197,438 | 9.8% | 61 | 2,753 |
Brazil | 214 | 22,927,203 | 620,847 | 10.7% | 32 | 2,901 |
Columbia | 52 | 5,475,904 | 130,731 | 10.5% | 57 | 2,514 |
N America* | 595 | 77,705,633 | 1,273,825 | 13.1% | 148 | 2,141 |
United States | 334 | 66,209,535 | 872,086 | 19.8% | 236 | 2,611 |
Mexico | 131 | 4,302,069 | 301,107 | 3.3% | 22 | 2,302 |
Canada | 38 | 2,717,982 | 31,317 | 7.1% | 97 | 820 |
Asia | 4,461 | 89,335,098 | 1,269,492 | 2.0% | 9 | 285 |
China | 1,439 | 104,745 | 4,636 | 0.01% | 0 | 3 |
India | 1,391 | 36,850,962 | 485,780 | 2.6% | 12 | 349 |
S. Korea | 51 | 687,984 | 6,281 | 1.3% | 7 | 123 |
Taiwan | 24 | 17,692 | 851 | 0.1% | 0.3 | 35 |
Africa | 1,341 | 10,425,479 | 233,744 | 0.8% | 3 | 174 |
South Africa | 60 | 3,552,043 | 93,117 | 5.9% | 11 | 1,552 |
Botswana | 2 | 237,678 | 2,514 | 9.8% | 47 | 1,039 |
Oceana | 42 | 1,803,984 | 4,921 | 4.3% | 250 | 117 |
Australia | 26 | 1,632,958 | 2,627 | 6.3% | 423 | 101 |
New Zealand | 5 | 15,001 | 52 | 0.3% | 1 | 10 |
Estimated % counted United States 63% Mexico 35% W. Europe 70-80% Russia 18%
See estimated actual death counts at U. Washington Study below.
The major countries (population > 10 million) with the highest death rate are.
Peru 6,002 Bulgaria 4,331 Hungary 3,868 Czechia 3,242 Romania 3,041 Brazil 2,874 If you adjust for the undercounting in Mexico and Russia their rates would be: Mexico 4,862 deaths per million Russia 8,358 deaths per million Regional Death Rates: S. America 2,732; N. America 1,999; Europe 1,968 Asia, Africa and Oceana all have less than 300 deaths per million. New Zealand, Australia, South Korea and Taiwan all had less than 100 deaths per million.
A Wall Street Journal Report in July 2021 says that the actual death count in India is is between 3.4 and 4.7 million, 10 times higher than the 400,000 reported.
With a population of 1.4 billion that would give India over 3,000 deaths per million and raise Asia's deaths per Million to over 1,000.
Because Asia and Africa account for 76% of the world population but only 23% of the deaths we don’t compute a world rate. There are smaller countries in Asia and Africa who's infection and death rates are similar to other developed countries.
See World Countries Cumulative Cases and Deaths below
See US States Cumulative Deaths below
Data Accuracy
The most complete study to date was released by the World Health Organization (WHO) on May 5th 2022
14.9 million excess deaths associated with the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020 and 2021
They measured the increase in the death toll, which was COVID-19 directly (due to the disease) or indirectly (due to the pandemic’s impact on health systems and society). e.g. lack of access to ERs and intensive care.
Most of the excess deaths (84%) are concentrated in South-East Asia, Europe, and the Americas.
It shows that the full death toll associated directly or indirectly with the COVID-19 pandemic (described as “excess mortality”) between 1 January 2020 and 31 December 2021 was approximately 14.9 million, more than double the official death toll of 6 million.
Excess mortality includes deaths associated with COVID-19 directly (due to the disease) or indirectly (due to the pandemic’s impact on health systems and society).
Most of the excess deaths (84%) are concentrated in South-East Asia, Europe, and the Americas.
The production of these estimates is a result of a global collaboration supported by the work of the Technical Advisory Group for COVID-19 Mortality Assessment and country consultations. with over 30 researchers from around the world.
See more from the WHO.
Previous Studies:
Almost 60% of U.S. Has Been Infected by COVID-19, CDC Says;
Researchers looked at the presence of coronavirus antibodies to estimate the rate of infection.
During September 2021–February 2022, a convenience
sample of blood specimens submitted for clinical testing was
analyzed every 4 weeks for anti-N antibodies. the median sample
size per 4-week period was 73,869 .
It indicated 57.7% of Americans had been infected.
Official infections reported were 80.5 Million or 24% of the population, i.e. only 42% of infections were reported.
See WebMD
The report was published in the CDC's Morbidity and Mortality Weekly Report, April 29, 2022
Davis, CA Wastewater testing indicates that in June 2022 only 20% of cases were reported compared to January 2022. See
"COVID’s true death toll: much higher than official records" | Nature March 10, 2022 compares data at the end of 2021 from The pandemic’s true death toll | The Economist Jan 31, 2022 and The University of Washington's Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME)
The pandemic’s true death toll | The Economist May 2022
OFFICIAL COVID-19 DEATHS | PER 100,000 | ESTIMATED EXCESS DEATHS | PER 100,000 | ESTIMATE V OFFICIAL | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Asia | 1,431,831 | 30.6 | 6.4m to 15m | 140 to 330 | +700% |
Europe (incl. EU) | 1,828,826 | 244.2 | 3.1m to 3.3m | 410 to 430 | +70% |
Africa | 253,293 | 18.4 | 1.1m to 3.3m | 79 to 240 | +1,000% |
Latin America and Caribbean | 1,694,146 | 257.2 | 2.4m to 2.7m | 370 to 410 | +50% |
European Union | 1,083,086 | 242.2 | 1.2m to 1.4m | 280 to 300 | +20% |
North America | 1,039,020 | 280.1 | 1.2m to 1.4m | 320 to 370 | +20% |
Oceania | 11,225 | 26.0 | −1.9k to 30k | −4.5 to 70 | −50% |
OFFICIAL COVID-19 DEATHS | PER 100,000 | ESTIMATED EXCESS DEATHS | PER 100,000 | ESTIMATE V OFFICIAL | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
India | 524,181 | 37.6 | 2.2m to 9.7m | 160 to 700 | +1,000% | |
Russia | 369,644 | 253.3 | 1.2m to 1.3m | 820 to 890 | +200% | |
United States | 998,997 | 300.1 | 1.2m to 1.3m | 350 to 400 | +20% | |
Pakistan | 30,375 | 13.5 | 390k to 1.1m | 170 to 500 | +2,700% | |
Indonesia | 156,396 | 56.6 | 360k to 1.1m | 130 to 410 | +400% | |
Brazil | 664,750 | 310.6 | 770k to 820k | 360 to 380 | +20% | |
Mexico | 324,465 | 249.1 | 670k to 760k | 520 to 580 | +100% | |
Bangladesh | 29,127 | 17.5 | 260k to 760k | 160 to 460 | +1,800% | |
China | 5,203 | 0.4 | −330k to 1.9m | −23 to 130 | +8,500% | |
Poland | 116,164 | 307.3 | 180k to 190k | 480 to 500 | +60% | |
Turkey | 98,870 | 116.3 | 180k to 490k | 210 to 580 | +300% | |
Britain | 177,088 | 259.6 | 140k to 160k | 210 to 230 | −20% | |
Germany | 137,184 | 163.5 | 110k to 130k | 130 to 160 | −10% | |
Italy | 164,846 | 273.1 | 200k to 230k | 320 to 380 | +30% | |
Peru | 212,968 | 638.4 | 220k to 220k | 660 to 670 | +4% |
According to a May 2021 study by the University of Washington's Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME),
reported deaths are significantly lower than actual deaths.
Around the World they are half the actual rate.
Some examples Estimated % counted. See below.
United States 63%
Mexico 35%
W. Europe 70-80%
Russia 18%
Actual Total Deaths (estimated)
-Countries with the highest actual (estimated) death rates, March 2020 to May 2021
Country | Estimated Actual Total | Reported Total | Reported % of Actual | Deaths per M | Death Rate Rank* | Pop M | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | Mexico | 617,127 | 217,694 | 35% | 4,746 | 19 | 130 |
4 | Brazil | 595,903 | 408,680 | 69% | 2,787 | 10 | 214 |
5 | Russian Federation | 593,610 | 109,334 | 18% | 4,066 | 17 | 146 |
6 | United Kingdom | 209,661 | 150,519 | 72% | 3,075 | 12 | 68 |
7 | Italy | 175,832 | 121,257 | 69% | 2,912 | 11 | 60 |
8 | Iran | 174,177 | 72,906 | 42% | 2,051 | 6 | 85 |
9 | Egypt | 170,041 | 13,529 | 8% | 1,635 | 4 | 104 |
10 | South Africa | 160,452 | 54,390 | 34% | 2,676 | 8 | 60 |
11 | Poland | 149,855 | 68,237 | 46% | 3,963 | 15 | 38 |
12 | Peru | 147,765 | 62,739 | 42% | 4,547 | 18 | 33 |
13 | Ukraine | 138,507 | 46,737 | 34% | 3,184 | 13 | 44 |
1 | United States | 905,289 | 574,043 | 63% | 2,722 | 9 | 333 |
14 | France | 132,680 | 105,506 | 80% | 2,029 | 5 | 65 |
15 | Spain | 123,786 | 85,365 | 69% | 2,647 | 7 | 47 |
16 | Germany | 120,729 | 83,256 | 69% | 1,437 | 3 | 84 |
17 | Indonesia | 118,796 | 47,150 | 40% | 438 | 1 | 271 |
The IHME report also listed some smaller countries with a high death rate. Here are some with the highest death rates. | |||||||
Czechia | 41,446 | 29,574 | 71% | 3,910 | 14 | 11 | |
Hungary | 38,787 | 28,919 | 75% | 3,970 | 16 | 10 | |
Bulgaria | 38,640 | 16,905 | 44% | 5,600 | 20 | 7 |
Note: There are several other smaller countries with higher total death rates.
e.g. Bosnia and Herzegovina - 6010; Azerbaijan - 6730
1,000 deaths per 100,000 is 1% of the population.
A Wall Street Journal Report in July 2021 says that the actual death count in India is is between 3.4 and 4.7 million, 10 times higher than the 400,000 reported.
With a population of 1.4 billion that would give India over 3,000 deaths per million and raise Asia's deaths per Million to over 1,000.
"Estimating excess mortality due to the COVID-19 Pandemic a study by Researchers at the University of Washington’s Institute of Health Metrics published in the Lancet March 10, 2022 . They found,
"Although reported COVID-19 deaths between Jan 1, 2020, and Dec 31, 2021, totalled 5.94 million worldwide, we estimate that 18.2 million (95% uncertainty interval) people died worldwide because of the COVID-19 pandemic (as measured by excess mortality) over that period. The global all-age rate of excess mortality due to the COVID-19 pandemic was 120.3 deaths per 100 000 of the population, and excess mortality rate exceeded 300 deaths per 100,000 of the population in 21 countries. The number of excess deaths due to COVID-19 was largest in the regions of south Asia, north Africa and the Middle East, and eastern Europe. At the country level, the highest numbers of cumulative excess deaths due to COVID-19 were estimated in India (4.07 million), the USA (1.13 million ), Russia (1.07 million ), Mexico (798), Brazil (792 000), Indonesia 736,000 , and Pakistan 664,000"
At Estimating global, regional, and national daily and cumulative infections with SARS-CoV-2 through Nov 14, 2021: a statistical analysis - The Lancet, Published in April 2022,
They looked at global data from the start of the Pandemic to November 2021 with information from The
Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) and others, they estimate that
over 40% of the global population was infected at least once by Nov 14, 2021.
Dr Scott Gottlieb, former FDA commissioner, said on "Face the Nation", April 2022,
"We are probably only picking up 1 in 7 or 8 infections, because people are using home tests which never get reported."
January 23, 2022
US States where I have friends and family.
Place | Popu- lation M | Cases | Deaths | Cases | Deaths | % Fully vacc- inated |
||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Total | New | Total | New | % of popu- lation | New /100K | Total /1M | New /1M |
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United States | 333 | 70,206,220 | 579,433 | 862,494 | 1870 | 21.1% | 174 | 2,590 | 5.6 | 64% |
New Jersey | 8.9 | 2,067,692 | 10,455 | 30,759 | 96 | 23.2% | 117 | 3,456 | 10.8 | 72% |
New York | 19.5 | 4,832,399 | 27,804 | 63,824 | 230 | 24.8% | 143 | 3,273 | 11.8 | 74% |
Massachusetts | 6.9 | 1,536,256 | 11,354 | 21,402 | 51 | 22.3% | 165 | 3,102 | 7.4 | 76% |
Pennsylvania | 12.8 | 2,572,500 | 16,254 | 39,538 | 131 | 20.1% | 127 | 3,089 | 10.2 | 65% |
Illinois | 12.7 | 2,773,362 | 18,640 | 33,446 | 101 | 21.8% | 147 | 2,634 | 8.0 | 66% |
Florida | 21.5 | 5,351,391 | 30,795 | 63,576 | 8 | 24.9% | 143 | 2,957 | 0.4 | 65% |
California | 39.5 | 7,450,319 | 85,930 | 78,870 | 107 | 18.9% | 218 | 1,997 | 2.7 | 68% |
Nevada | 3.1 | 614,505 | 4,268 | 8,736 | 4 | 19.8% | 138 | 2,818 | 1.3 | 58% |
Arizona | 7.3 | 1,752,552 | 20,397 | 25,623 | 59 | 24.0% | 279 | 3,510 | 8.1 | 58% |
California County Cumulative Deaths per 100,000 by Region - May 5, 2022
United States - 306 deaths/100K, California 230 deaths/100K
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North Central California Counties
North Central Califronia Counties Map
Counties where I have friends and family.
April 2, 2022
Place | Popu- lation M | Cases | Deaths | Cases | Deaths | % Fully vacc- inated |
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---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Total | New | Total | New | % of popu- lation | New /100K | Total /1M | New /1M |
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United States | 333 | 81,832,612 | 24,483 | 1,008,198 | 470 | 24.6% | 7 | 3,028 | ||
California | 39.510 | 9,108,202 | 2,281 | 88,207 | 54.000 | 23.1% | 6 | 2,233 | ||
San Francisco Co | 0.875 | 133,484 | 124 | 843 | 15.3% | 14 | 963 | |||
San Mateo Co | 0.770 | 127,776 | 81 | 743 | 16.6% | 11 | 966 | |||
Santa Clara Co | 1.938 | 324,974 | 207 | 2,259 | 16.8% | 11 | 1,166 | |||
Alameda Co | 1.682 | 269,551 | 154 | 1,830 | 16.0% | 9 | 1,088 | |||
Sierra Co | 0.003 | 315 | 0 | 4 | 10.4% | 0 | 1,316 | |||
Napa Co | 0.138 | 26,726 | 9 | 143 | 19.4% | 6 | 1,036 | |||
Sonoma Co | 0.489 | 85,756 | 37 | 487 | 17.5% | 8 | 996 | |||
Yolo Co | 0.221 | 39,542 | 24 | 313 | 17.9% | 11 | 1,420 | |||
Solano Co | 0.448 | 87,401 | 28 | 446 | 19.5% | 6 | 996 | |||
Sacramento Co | 1.552 | 303,101 | 105 | 3,080 | 19.5% | 7 | 1,985 | |||
Placer Co | 0.398 | 70,097 | 17 | 614 | 17.6% | 4 | 1,543 | |||
Sutter Co | 0.097 | 22,672 | 8 | 231 | 23.4% | 8 | 2,381 | |||
Davis | 0.100 | 8,121 | 4 | 28 | 8.1% | 4 | 280 |
The 10 counties who voted for Biden in 2020 averaged a total of 1,203 deaths per million over the course of the virus as of March 12, 2022 compared to the 2 counties who voted for Trump which average averaged 1,870 deaths per million (55% higher).
* Sierra County had only 12 new cases from Feb 15, 2021 to July 4, 2021 with a 7 day average of close to 0.
At the beginning of july, the beginning of September and middle of October they had an outbreak raising the 7-day average to 3 cases per day making the rate per 100,000 100 cases per day.
With a population of just over 3,000 a small outbreak results in a high rate (new cases per 100,000)
But their cumulative death rate since the beginning of the pandemic is the lowest of all counties represented here.
Average new cases per day per 100,000 .
June 2021 - May 2022
06/05 | 07/15 | 08/14 | 9/3 | 11/1 | 1/7 | 2/1 | 2/25 | 3/12 | 4/2 | 5/6 | 5/27 | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
United States | 4.2 | 9.3 | 39 | 50 | 20 | 195 | 126 | 22 | 10 | 7 | 21 | 33 |
California | 2.3 | 8.7 | 34 | 35 | 15 | 166 | 148 | 26 | 11 | 6 | 19 | 39 |
San Francisco | 22 | 7 | 167 | 87 | 32 | 8 | 14 | 42 | 59 | |||
San Mateo | 1.3 | 6.4 | 21 | 23 | 8 | 174 | 109 | 23 | 13 | 11 | 37 | 61 |
Santa Clara | 1.3 | 5.1 | 18 | 25 | 8 | 163 | 133 | 22 | 10 | 11 | 33 | 59 |
Contra-Costa | 25 | 50 | ||||||||||
Alameda | 119 | 18 | 10 | 9 | 26 | 50 | ||||||
Marin | 31 | 60 | ||||||||||
Napa | 1.4 | 5.1 | 25 | 26 | 8 | 149 | 117 | 28 | 19 | 6 | 23 | 37 |
Sanoma | 182 | 139 | 26 | 17 | 8 | 29 | 46 | |||||
Solano | 1.3 | 10 | 27 | 66 | 11 | 120 | 122 | 49 | 13 | 6 | 20 | 50 |
Yolo | 1.8 | 6.3 | 33 | 44 | 18 | 159 | 102 | 19 | 11 | 11 | 20 | 43 |
Sierra | 0 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 14 | ||||||
Sacramento | 0.3 | 11.7 | 39 | 73 | 14 | 117 | 121 | 25 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 38 |
Placer | 1.3 | 8.3 | 37 | 77 | 24 | 91 | 109 | 24 | 8 | 4 | 12 | 34 |
El Dorado | 11 | 30 | ||||||||||
Sutter | 13.4 | 60 | 72 | 22 | 99 | 110 | 26 | 22 | 8 | 11 | 29 | |
Davis | 18 | 4 | 212 | 41 | 10 | 6 | 4 |
* Davis results are delayed by about 10 days.
Surges following Delta and Omicron variants.
Place | Popu- lation M | Cases | Deaths | Cases | Deaths | % Fully vacc- inated |
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---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Total | New * | Total | New* | % of popu- lation | New /100K | Total /1M | New /1M |
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an 13 - Peak of Omicron variant - 821,911 nec cases per day in the US | ||||||||||
Jan 7, 2022 | ||||||||||
United States | 333 | 60,669,808 | 650,513 | 858,882 | 1,489 | 18.2% | 195 | 2,579 | 4.5 | 63% |
California | 39.510 | 5,838,915 | 65,521 | 77,257 | 74 | 14.8% | 166 | 1,955 | 1.9 | 67% |
Dec 21, 2021 | ||||||||||
United States | 333.0 | 52,372,978 | 155,384 | 831,836 | 15.7% | 47 | 2,498 | 62% | ||
California | 39.5 | 5,251,204 | 9,506 | 76,151 | 62 | 13.3% | 24 | 1,927 | 1.6 | 66% |
Nov 1 | ||||||||||
United States | 331.0 | 46,972,494 | 66,959 | 768,465 | 1,082 | 14.2% | 20 | 2,322 | 3.3 | 58% |
California | 39.5 | 4,813,611 | 5,754 | 72,355 | 83.0 | 12.2% | 15 | 1,831 | 2.1 | 61% |
Sep 10 | ||||||||||
United States | 331 | 41,741,693 | 145,553 | 677,017 | 1,378 | 12.6% | 44 | 2,045 | 4.2 | 53% |
California | 39.510 | 4,474,673 | 9,429 | 67,100 | 112 | 11.3% | 24 | 1,698 | 2.8 | 57% |
Sep 3 Peak of Delta Variant | ||||||||||
United States | 331 | 40,805,259 | 163,852 | 666,219 | 1,308 | 12.3% | 50 | 2,013 | 4.0 | 53% |
California | 39.510 | 4,421,842 | 13,901 | 66,497 | 106 | 11.2% | 35 | 1,683 | 2.7 | 56% |
Aug 3 | ||||||||||
United States | 331 | 36,023,120 | 86,710 | 630,447 | 365 | 10.9% | 26 | 1,905 | 1.1 | 50% |
California | 39.510 | 3,985,729 | 9,104 | 64,556 | 38 | 10.1% | 23 | 1,634 | 1.0 | 63% |
July 15 | ||||||||||
United States | 331 | 34,929,856 | 30,741 | 624,606 | 270 | 10.6% | 9.3 | 1,887 | 0.8 | 48.4 |
California | 39.510 | 3,856,595 | 3,454 | 64,088 | 31 | 9.8% | 8.7 | 1,622 | 0.8 | 61.0 |
June 1, 2021 | ||||||||||
United States | 331 | 34,204,374 | 13,956 | 612,203 | 379 | 10.3% | 4 | 1,850 | 1.1 | 42% |
California | 39.510 | 3,795,479 | 889 | 63,008 | 23 | 9.6% | 2 | 1,595 | 0.6 | 52% |
Jan 11,2021 - Peak of Alpha variant | ||||||||||
United States | 331 | 258,086 | 3,559 | 78 | 10.8 | |||||
California | 39.510 | 45,528 | 562 | 115 | 14.2 |
New Cases per day per 100,000
For reference, in January California had over 100 new cases per day per 100,000 and Los Angeles Co was over 150.
Coronavirus Dashboard | ncov2019.live
* New cases and deaths are 7-day moving-averages to adjust for the impact of administrative delays to reporting new data over weekends.
Numbers are significantly undercounted. See estimated actual counts above.
NY Times Map
COVID-19 International Travel Recommendations by Destination | CDC
Note: We have limited our statistics to the 122 countries with more than 5 million population. There are smaller countries with higher per-capita rates.
% Vaccinated:
Aug 29
39.3% of the world population has received at least one dose of a COVID-19 vaccine.
Only 1.6% of people in low-income countries have received at least one dose.
Those who are vaccinated are about six times less likely to contract the virus and 14 times less likely to die from it.
COVID World Vaccination Tracker | NY Times
Vaccine doses vs % vaccinated. The Pfizer and Moderna vaccines require 2 doses to be fully vaccinated. So, in the US on July 14 there were 101 doses per 100 administered, but only 48% were fully vaccinated.
New Cases driven by largest countries.
Spikes in Daily Cases:(Excluding the US and India)
Fomn
Note: A report published by Arvind Subramanian, the Indian government’s former chief economic advisor, and two other researchers at the Center for Global Development and Harvard University said the actual number of deaths in India was likely between 3 million to 4.7 million between January 2020 and June 2021. This is 10 times higher than the 400,000 reported, so would put India at the top of the list of death rates.
1,000 deaths per million is 0.1% of the population.
* A July 20th report suggests that India alone could actually have 4 million deaths instead of the 460,000 reported, increasing the world total to 8 Million.
See India’s Covid-19 Death Toll Is Likely in the Millions WSJ
Most estimates for the 1918 Flu range from 17 -50 million with , with a couple of higher and lower estimates.
Actual Total Deaths (estimated)
-Countries with the highest numbers of actual (estimated) total COVID-19 deaths, March 2020 to May 2021
According to a May 2021 study by the University of Washington's Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME), reported deaths is significantly lower than actual deaths.
Around the World they are double what is reported.
Country | Estimated Actual Total | Reported Total | Reported % of Actual | Actual Deaths per M | Death Rate Rank* | Pop M | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | United States of America | 905,289 | 574,043 | 63% | 2,722 | 9 | 333 |
2 | India | 654,395 | 221,181 | 34% | 470 | 2 | 1391 |
3 | Mexico | 617,127 | 217,694 | 35% | 4,746 | 19 | 130 |
4 | Brazil | 595,903 | 408,680 | 69% | 2,787 | 10 | 214 |
5 | Russian Federation | 593,610 | 109,334 | 18% | 4,066 | 17 | 146 |
6 | United Kingdom | 209,661 | 150,519 | 72% | 3,075 | 12 | 68 |
7 | Italy | 175,832 | 121,257 | 69% | 2,912 | 11 | 60 |
8 | Iran | 174,177 | 72,906 | 42% | 2,051 | 6 | 85 |
9 | Egypt | 170,041 | 13,529 | 8% | 1,635 | 4 | 104 |
10 | South Africa | 160,452 | 54,390 | 34% | 2,676 | 8 | 60 |
11 | Poland | 149,855 | 68,237 | 46% | 3,963 | 15 | 38 |
12 | Peru | 147,765 | 62,739 | 42% | 4,547 | 18 | 33 |
13 | Ukraine | 138,507 | 46,737 | 34% | 3,184 | 13 | 44 |
14 | France | 132,680 | 105,506 | 80% | 2,029 | 5 | 65 |
15 | Spain | 123,786 | 85,365 | 69% | 2,647 | 7 | 47 |
16 | Germany | 120,729 | 83,256 | 69% | 1,437 | 3 | 84 |
17 | Indonesia | 118,796 | 47,150 | 40% | 438 | 1 | 271 |
The IHME report also listed some smaller countries with a high death rate. Here are some with the highest death rates. | |||||||
Czechia | 41,446 | 29,574 | 71% | 3,910 | 14 | 11 | |
Hungary | 38,787 | 28,919 | 75% | 3,970 | 16 | 10 | |
Bulgaria | 38,640 | 16,905 | 44% | 5,600 | 20 | 7 |
Note: There are several other smaller countries with higher total death rates.
e.g. Bosnia and Herzegovina - 6010; Azerbaijan - 6730
100 deaths per 100,000 is 0.1% of the population.
23 Countries of Interest - Infection Rates
See also COVID-19 pandemic by country and territory - Wikipedia
Countries with the highest peak infection rates out of
the 125 largest countries (population > 5 M),
Some smaller countries have a higher rate.
You can click on the chart to go to the current interactive version, where you can move the sliders at the bottom to zero in on a specific time period and hover over a date to get the list of values on that date.
You can add countries by entering it in the upper left.
Peak 7-day average new cases per Million
Note: There is under-counting of deaths by a factor of 3 in several countries, so case counts are probably low also.
Country | Date | New Cases |
---|---|---|
North America | Jan 12, 2021 | 470 |
Europe | Nov 2, 2020 | 370 |
South America | June 3, 2021 | 334 |
Asia | May 5, 2021 | 107 |
Africa | Jan 11,2021 | 24 |
Belgium | Oct 30, 2020 | 1,536 |
Ireland | Jan 10, 2021 | 1,323 |
Portugal | Jan 28, 2021 | 1,264 |
Israel | Sept 14, 2021 | 1,254 |
Czechia | 10/27/20 | 1,200 |
Hungary | 03/26/21 | 960 |
Botswana | 08/07/21 | 946 |
United Kingdom | Jan 10, 2021 | 881 |
France | Nov 3, 2020 | 832 |
Austria | 11/14/20 | 806 |
Spain | Jan 26, 2021 | 791 |
United States | Jan 11, 2021 | 757 |
Argentina | june 1, 2021 | 728 |
Turkey | Apr 21, 2021 | 714 |
Nambia | 06/30/21 | 695 |
Italy | Nov 13, 2020 | 578 |
Italy | Nov 13, 2020 | 578 |
Columbia | June 6, 2021 | 527 |
Sweden | May 4, 2021 | 500 |
Costa Rica | May 18, 2021 | 483 |
South Africa | Jan 11, 2021 | 321 |
Germany | Dec 22, 2020 | 306 |
Peru | 04/13/21 | 297 |
India | May 6, 2021 | 282 |
Canada | Apr 16, 2021 | 232 |
Russia | May 13, 2021 | 193 |
Mexico | Dec 24, 2020 | 81 |
Note: There are small countries (< 5 Million population) with more cases and deaths per million.
See Worldmeter and click on headings to sort.
Reported deaths (below) range from 34% to 70% of actual deaths according to the U. of Washington. See above. Worldwide they are double of what is reported.
According to a May 2021 study by the University of Washington's Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME), reported deaths is significantly lower than actual deaths.
Around the World they are double what is reported.
The IHME report only included some of the countries with large numbers.
Actual (estimated) total COVID-19 deaths, xgxg020 to May 2021
Country | Estimated Actual Total | Reported Total | Reported % of Actual | Deaths per M |
---|---|---|---|---|
Bulgaria | 38,640 | 16,905 | 44% | 5,600 |
Mexico | 617,127 | 217,694 | 35% | 4,746 |
Peru | 147,765 | 62,739 | 42% | 4,547 |
Russian Federation | 593,610 | 109,334 | 18% | 4,066 |
Hungary | 38,787 | 28,919 | 75% | 3,970 |
Poland | 149,855 | 68,237 | 46% | 3,963 |
Czechia | 41,446 | 29,574 | 71% | 3,910 |
Ukraine | 138,507 | 46,737 | 34% | 3,184 |
United Kingdom | 209,661 | 150,519 | 72% | 3,075 |
Italy | 175,832 | 121,257 | 69% | 2,912 |
Brazil | 595,903 | 408,680 | 69% | 2,787 |
United States of America | 905,289 | 574,043 | 63% | 2,722 |
South Africa | 160,452 | 54,390 | 34% | 2,676 |
Spain | 123,786 | 85,365 | 69% | 2,647 |
Iran | 174,177 | 72,906 | 42% | 2,051 |
France | 132,680 | 105,506 | 80% | 2,029 |
Egypt | 170,041 | 13,529 | 8% | 1,635 |
Germany | 120,729 | 83,256 | 69% | 1,437 |
India | 654,395 | 221,181 | 34% | 470 |
Omicron Spread
![]() Source: What omicron's fast spread could mean | NPR Dec 10 |
![]() Source: Worldmeter |
Why Does the Pandemic Seem to Be Hitting Some Countries Harder Than Others? | The New Yorker Feb. 22, 2021
Summary Here.
Other countries -
See also: OurWorldinData
Source: COVID-19 pandemic death rates by country - Wikipedia
892 in the US is about 0.1%
Test Positivity Rate
Experts advise looking at three measurements together: number of cases, case positivity rates and number of deaths to understand what is going on.
Test Positivity Rate is important because a high positivity rate probably means that the case count is low. See Positivity Rate.
WHO guidelines want it to be below 5%. When a positivity rate is higher, epidemiologists start worrying that means only sicker people have access to tests and a city or region is missing mild or asymptomatic cases.
Testing and Positivity | Johns Hopkins
See Positivity Rate for more.
See Epicenters
CDC COVID Data Tracker
COVID was the leading cause of death in the United States in January 2021:
Provisional Death Counts for Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) | CDC
The average percent of COVID-19 deaths from Mar. 21, 2020 to May 22, 2021 was 14.4%.
That made it #3 behind heart disease (28%) and cancer (25%) as cause of death.
Note: These are the 2019 rates for heart disease and cancer.
They may be lower in 2020 because people weakened from these diseases may have succumbed to COVID first. I don't know how the CDC counts someone who dies of heart disease because of stress from COVID.
See Cause of Death
See 1918 Flu
Total Deaths per 1 Million May 5
|
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Source: Worldmeter ![]() See Positivity Rate. The epicenters keeps changing: The first confirmed case relating to the COVID-19 pandemic in the United States was announced by the state of Washington on January 21, 2020. Washington made the first announcement of a death from the disease in the U.S. on February 29 Washington had the highest absolute number of confirmed cases (500) and the highest number per capita (7 cases per 100,000)of any state in the country, until it was surpassed by New York state on April 10.
I moved back to California from New Jersey a couple of years ago. In April my friends in New Jersey had 10 times the chance of encountering a person with COVID-19 than I did in California. In July the numbers have flipped with California having 6 times and Florida 12 times the incidence of NJ.
States with rates 50% higher than the national average are in bold.
|
See the See Timeline for a history of infection rates and the tier system October 2020 - June 2021 (Alpha surge).
Bay Area Region vs Other Regions
A LA Times report said that in January 2022 the death rate in southern California was 3 times higher than the Bay Area.
The Bay Area in California has traditionally had the second lowest rate of California's 5 regions behind the Northern California region and was usually lower than the State rate. As of May 2022 the Bay Area cumulative death rate over the life of COVID was about half the other regions. See above.
As of May 2022 it has the highest new case rate rate. It is still lower than historical rates.
See Current Region data above.
I Had a theory that the regions which had higher rates in the past have developed a herd immunity.
However, as of the end of July Southern California and the San Joaquin Valley were back on top with the highest rates, so that theory doesn't hold.
My new theory is that areas with the highest inter-state and international visitors are affected first. That was the case in the North East states also.
The CDC sampled blood for antibodies from September 2021 to February 2022 and concluded that almost 60% of Americans had been infected, which is much higher than the 24% of cases reported, so we would be approaching heard immunity numbers. However the frequent mutations in the omicron variant messes up the heard immunity theory.
North Central Califronia Counties Map
See county data below.
California | The COVID Tracking Project
New cases per 100,000 June 2021 - May 2022
06/05 | 07/15 | 08/14 | 9/3 | 11/1 | 1/7 | 2/1 | 2/25 | 3/12 | 4/2 | 5/6 | 5/27 | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
United States | 4.2 | 9.3 | 39 | 50 | 20 | 195 | 126 | 22 | 10 | 7 | 21 | 33 |
California | 2.3 | 8.7 | 34 | 35 | 15 | 166 | 148 | 26 | 11 | 6 | 19 | 39 |
San Francisco | 22 | 7 | 167 | 87 | 32 | 8 | 14 | 42 | 59 | |||
San Mateo | 1.3 | 6.4 | 21 | 23 | 8 | 174 | 109 | 23 | 13 | 11 | 37 | 61 |
Santa Clara | 1.3 | 5.1 | 18 | 25 | 8 | 163 | 133 | 22 | 10 | 11 | 33 | 59 |
Contra-Costa | 25 | 50 | ||||||||||
Alameda | 119 | 18 | 10 | 9 | 26 | 50 | ||||||
Marin | 31 | 60 | ||||||||||
Napa | 1.4 | 5.1 | 25 | 26 | 8 | 149 | 117 | 28 | 19 | 6 | 23 | 37 |
Sanoma | 182 | 139 | 26 | 17 | 8 | 29 | 46 | |||||
Solano | 1.3 | 10 | 27 | 66 | 11 | 120 | 122 | 49 | 13 | 6 | 20 | 50 |
Yolo | 1.8 | 6.3 | 33 | 44 | 18 | 159 | 102 | 19 | 11 | 11 | 20 | 43 |
Sierra | 0 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 14 | ||||||
Sacramento | 0.3 | 11.7 | 39 | 73 | 14 | 117 | 121 | 25 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 38 |
Placer | 1.3 | 8.3 | 37 | 77 | 24 | 91 | 109 | 24 | 8 | 4 | 12 | 34 |
El Dorado | 11 | 30 | ||||||||||
Sutter | 13.4 | 60 | 72 | 22 | 99 | 110 | 26 | 22 | 8 | 11 | 29 | |
Davis | 18 | 4 | 212 | 41 | 10 | 6 | 4 |
Place | Popu- lation M | Cases | Deaths | Cases | Deaths | % Fully vacc- inated |
||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Total | New | Total | New | % of popu- lation | New /100K | Total /1M | New /1M |
|||
United States | 333 | 81,832,612 | 24,483 | 1,008,198 | 470 | 24.6% | 7 | 3,028 | ||
California | 39.510 | 9,108,202 | 2,281 | 88,207 | 54.000 | 23.1% | 6 | 2,233 | ||
San Francisco Co | 0.875 | 133,484 | 124 | 843 | 15.3% | 14 | 963 | |||
San Mateo Co | 0.770 | 127,776 | 81 | 743 | 16.6% | 11 | 966 | |||
Santa Clara Co | 1.938 | 324,974 | 207 | 2,259 | 16.8% | 11 | 1,166 | |||
Alameda Co | 1.682 | 269,551 | 154 | 1,830 | 16.0% | 9 | 1,088 | |||
Sierra Co | 0.003 | 315 | 0 | 4 | 10.4% | 0 | 1,316 | |||
Napa Co | 0.138 | 26,726 | 9 | 143 | 19.4% | 6 | 1,036 | |||
Sonoma Co | 0.489 | 85,756 | 37 | 487 | 17.5% | 8 | 996 | |||
Yolo Co | 0.221 | 39,542 | 24 | 313 | 17.9% | 11 | 1,420 | |||
Solano Co | 0.448 | 87,401 | 28 | 446 | 19.5% | 6 | 996 | |||
Sacramento Co | 1.552 | 303,101 | 105 | 3,080 | 19.5% | 7 | 1,985 | |||
Placer Co | 0.398 | 70,097 | 17 | 614 | 17.6% | 4 | 1,543 | |||
Sutter Co | 0.097 | 22,672 | 8 | 231 | 23.4% | 8 | 2,381 | |||
Davis | 0.100 | 8,121 | 4 | 28 | 8.1% | 4 | 280 |
Bay Area & Sac Area (partial) County Case Rates:
Why are the cases per 100K different in the NY Times report and the California State report? (Yolo and San Mateo below)
Both numbers are probably low because of many cases not being reported.
San Mateo County
San Mateo Co. Covid-data-tracker| CDC
San Mateo County Health
I don't know why the Times shows higher numbers per 100K than the state data below (only San Mateo and Yolo are shown but numbers are higher for all counties).
I sent the Times a question, but haven't heard back.
See Davis Wastewater Testing below.
San Mateo County coronavirus cases: Tracking the outbreak - Los Angeles Times
Midcoast Region - San Mateo Co. lumps the area between Pacifica and Half Moon Bay as MidCoast region including, Montara, Moss Beach, Seal Cove, Princeteon-by-the Sea, El Granada, and Miramar.
It is typically has one of the lowest rate of new cases in the county, but as of August 8th it was about 4 times the county average.
Average cases per day and per 100,000 30 days as of Aug 9
City | Pop- ulation | Av. Cases per day | Current 7-day |
|
---|---|---|---|---|
Total | per 100K |
|||
US | 331M | 36 | 33 | |
California | 39.5M | 45 | 34 | |
San Mateo Co | 743,331 | 48 | 30 | |
Colma | 1,302 | 2.4 | 187 | |
East Palo Alto | 29,593 | 25.9 | 87 | |
Daly City | 106,668 | 72.2 | 68 | |
South San Francisco | 67,402 | 45.1 | 67 | |
Brisbane | 4,696 | 3.1 | 67 | |
North Fair Oaks | 14,374 | 9.5 | 66 | |
San Bruno | 43,086 | 26.0 | 60 | |
Redwood City | 85,784 | 49.5 | 58 | |
San Carlos | 30,159 | 16.2 | 54 | |
Broadmore | 5,171 | 2.7 | 52 | |
Millbrae | 22,631 | 11.5 | 51 | |
Pacifica | 38,975 | 19.0 | 49 | |
Menlo Park | 34,137 | 16.6 | 49 | |
Belmont | 27,103 | 13.1 | 48 | |
San Mateo | 104,343 | 49.6 | 48 | |
Burlingame | 30,573 | 14.3 | 47 | |
Woodside | 5,544 | 2.5 | 46 | |
Foster City | 33,987 | 13.9 | 41 | |
Atherton | 7,166 | 2.6 | 36 | |
Ladera | 1,607 | 0.6 | 35 | |
Half Moon Bay | 12,833 | 4.4 | 34 | |
Hillsborough | 11,451 | 3.9 | 34 | |
West Menlo Park | 4,161 | 1.4 | 34 | |
Emerald Hills | 4,722 | 1.6 | 33 | |
Midcoast Region * | 11,271 | 3.5 | 31 | |
Portola Valley | 4,594 | 1.2 | 27 |
Sources: [7-day average case count]
* LA Times may report total for 7-days not the per-day-average.
Yolo Co. Covid-data-tracker| CDC
Yolo County non longer lists Davis Stats.
The case rate from the California Department of Public Health at the LA times gives you a current count for Davis but not a trend line.
While Healthy Davis Together (HDT) testing will end, wastewater monitoring in Davis will continue through the fall, with results posted weekly on the
Healthy Davis Together Wastewater Testing
Note: The results are supposed to be updated every Saturday, but the 1 month chart is typically not updated until later.
Click on the charts below to see if there are updated results.
Note:
The city-wide wastwater concentration at the begining of June was about the same as it was at the beginning of January, the height of the omicron surge.
But the number of reported cases per 100,000 at the beginning of June was 50 for Yolo County, while in January it was over 200 for Yolo County and Davis. i.e. in June only 25% of infections were reported, but the number in January was probably low itself. See below.
(Yolo county no longr singles out Davis counts)
The general explination for this is:
1. More asymptomatic cases which are not reported.
2. People doing self testing with mild symptoms which are not reported.
This along with an April, 2022 CDC report indicated that almost 60% of the U.S. population has been infected. means that as of June only about 10% of infections were being counted.
Data for UC Davis students and employees.
Yolo County test positivity rate on May 1 was 1.5%
Note: Positivity results are always higher than official government rates reported in county data above, because many asymptomatic people are not going to healthare facilities.
Source: UC Davis COVID-19 Dashboard | Campus Ready (530) 752-6125
It comes from the asymptomatic COVID-19 testing program, test results from Student Health and Occupational Health as medical providers, and self-reported cases from students and employees who were on campus during their potentially infectious period.
Historical data thru March 26, 2022.
Data from the Yolo County Health Department which no longer reports case numbers.
On January 10, 2022 Davis had an average of 210 new cases per day per 100,000, higher than Yolo Co, California and the US.
Davis typically had one of the 2 lowest rates of new infections in the 10 states and 12 counties in California that I follow, But in January 7 2022 it had the 2nd highest rate.
I attribute that to 35,000 undergraduate students at UC Davis (30% of the population) who returned to Davis after the Christmas Hollidays, where they were exposed in family gatherings and mass transit on the trip back. If 150 of the 210 cases (15 day average on 1/7) were students that would 0.4% of students.
On November 4th, 2021 Davis hit a low average of 2.7 cases per day per 100,000 after the delta surge.
It rose slowly to 3.7 on December 10 when the Omicron surge took off and hit a high fo 212 on January 7th.
We were back to 2.9 cases per 100,000 on March 19th.
The count rose to 5.4 cases on March 26 after the mask mandate was relaxed.
California, San Francisco Co, Santa Clara, Santa Clara Co, San Mateo, Alameda Co, Alameda, Sierra, Yolo, Yolo Co, Napa, Sonoma, Solano, Sacramento, Placer, Sutter, Sutter Co, Solano County Public Health Dashboards, Coronavirus Report for Napa County, CA - LiveStories, Coronavirus (COVID-19) | Napa County, CA, Sacramento, Placer, Sarasota County, Florida | USAFacts, Washoe Co. NV
Other Links:
Coronavirus tracker | Mercury News
Old News
But it turns out only 18% - 80% of actual deaths are counted.
See U. Washington study.
I eventually found web sites that were reporting most of data I was interested in, shown here, you can click on charts to get current versions.
We are concentrating on trends now from the world down to some towns in California. Where are the outbreaks, relative size of the them, history of safety plans etc..
Also listing death rates, hospitilazions and positivity rate where possible.
See more at rational.
Joshua SA. Weitz at Georgie Tech developed a tool to assess the risk that one (or more) individuals in a group was infected.
See Risk Assessment
We are concentrating on trends now from the world down to some towns in California. Where are the outbreaks, relative size of the them, history of safety plans etc..
Also listing death rates, hospitilazions and positivity rate where possible.
See more at rational.
There are other measurements that would be helpful in understanding the progress of the epidemic in different places, such as the number of new hospitalizations, the number of tests administered or the number of people showing any symptoms of respiratory illness. But confirmed coronavirus cases and deaths, however incomplete, are the most useful daily statistics currently available at a local level everywhere in the country.
Hospitalizations and deaths lag cases by one to two weeks.