This page is a high level overview of the campaign. It doesn't list who made what fopaw in what debate. See links below for more information.

Polling | Results | Primary Schedule | How it Works | Iowa |
Classification - Moderate - Conservative | Debates | Links

National Polling results:
Sources: Poll Tracker | WSJ.com | Gallup.com | Race 4 2012 | RealClearPolitics

Results vary considerably between different polls. For example in July polls Romney got from 16 to 30% and Bachmann got from 11 to 16%. See an example for Iowa below.

Initial Primary Results
Place Romney Santorum Gingrich Paul Perry Huntsman Bachmanother
Iowa 25% 25% 13%21% 10% 0.6% 5% 0.3%
New Hampshire 39% 9% 9% 23% 0.7% 17% 1.5%
South Carolina 28% 17% 40% 13% 0.4%
See Primaries below for others
Super Tuesday is the Tue., usually Feb. or Mar., when the greatest number of delegates (usually 20-40%) are up for grabs.

Primary Schedule and Results               (Click on candidate name for a google search)

Date Deli-
gates
State Deli-
gates
Type Deli-
gate
Allo-
cation
Romney Santorum Gingrich Paul
Home State MA PA GA TX
Tue Jan 3 28 Iowa 28 (nonbinding) caucus N/A Caucus' result in both bound and unbound delegates based on state rules 25% 25% 13% 21%
Tue Jan 10 12 New Hampshire 12† (modified) primary proprtnl Delegates are allocated proportionally to the popular vote. 39%9% 9% 23%
Sat Jan 21 25 South Carolina 25† (open) primary proprtnl 28% 17% 40% 13%
Tue Jan 31 50 Florida 50† (closed) primary WTA Winner-Take-All. 46% 13% 32% 7%
Sat Feb 4 28 Nevada 28 (binding) caucus proprtnl 50% 10%21% 19%
Tue Feb 7 128 Colorado 36 (nonbinding) caucus N/A35% 40% 13% 12%
Minnesota
precincts
40 (nonbinding) caucus N/A 1 17% 45% 11% 27%
Missouri ‡ 52 (nonbinding) primary Conv The delegation will be elected on the floor of the state convention based on stated presidential preference. 25% 55% 12%
Feb 4-11 24 Maine 24 (nonbinding) caucus N/A 39% 18% 6% 36%
Tue Feb 28 59 Arizona 29† (closed) primary WTA 47% 27% 16% 8%
Michigan 30† (open) primary AP/CW At-large delegates are proportional, Congressional District delegates are Winner-Take-All. See below. 41% 38% 7% 12%
Feb 11-29 29 Wyoming 29 (binding) caucus N/A 44% 28% 1% 12%
Sat Mar 3 43 Washington 43 (nonbinding) caucus Conv 38% 24% 10% 25%
Tue Mar 6 437 Alaska 27 (binding) caucus Proptl 32% 29% 14% 24%
(Super Georgia 76 (modified) Proptl 26% 20% 47% 7%
Tuesday) Idaho 32 (binding) caucus Proptl 62% 18% 2% 18%
Massachusetts 41 (modified) Proptl 72% 12% 5% 10%
North Dakota 28 (binding) caucus N/A 24% 40% 8% 28%
Ohio 66 (modified) primary AP*/CW At-large delegates are proportional, Congressional District delegates are Winner-Take-All. See below.
* If any candidate receives more than 50% of the votes it becomes WTA.
38% 37% 15% 9%
Oklahoma 43 (closed) primary proprtnl* If any candidate receives more than 50% of the votes it becomes WTA. 28% 34% 28% 10%
Tennessee 58 (open) primary proprtnl# If any candidate receives more than 66% of the votes it becomes a WTA contest. 28% 37% 24% 9%
Vermont 17 (open) primary AP*/CW 40% 24% 8% 26%
Virginia 49 (open) primary AP*/CW 60% - - 41%
Sat Mar 10 49 Kansas 40 (binding) caucus AP/CW 21% 51% 14% 13%
U.S. Virgin Islands 9 (binding) caucus N/A 26% 6% 5% 29%
Date Deli-
gates
State Deli-
gates
Type Deli-
gate
Allo-
cation
Romney Santorum Gingrich Paul
Tue Mar 13 119 Alabama 50 (open) primary proprtnl* 29% 35% 29% 5%
Hawaii 20 (binding) caucus proprtnl 45% 25% 11% 19%
Mississippi 40 (open) primary proprtnl 31% 33% 31% 4%
American Samoa 9 Caucus N/A
Sat Mar 17 (52) Missouri ‡ (52) (binding) caucus Conv
Sun Mar 18 23 Puerto Rico 23 (open) primary WTA 83% 8% 2% 1%
Tue Mar 20 69 Illinois 69 (open) primary N/A 47% 35% 7% 9%
Sat Mar 24 46 Louisiana 46 (closed) primary AP/CU At-large delegates are proportional, Congressional District delegates are unbound. 27% 49% 16% 6%
Tue Apr 3 98 District of Columbia 19 (closed) primary WTA 68% 10% 12%
Maryland 37 (closed) primary WTA 49% 29% 11% 9%
Wisconsin 42 (open) primary WTA 43% 38% 6% 12%
Tue Apr 24 231 Connecticut 28 (closed) primary AP*/CW 68% 7% 10% 13%
Delaware 17 (closed) primary WTA 56% 6% 27% 11%
New York 95 (closed) primary proprtnl * 63% 9% 13% 15%
Pennsylvania 72 (closed) primary N/A 58% 18% 11% 13%
Rhode Island 19 (modified) primary proprtnl 63% 6% 6% 24%
Tue May 5-6 24 Maine 24 (closed) caucus 8% 83%
Tue May 8 132 Indiana 46 (open) primary AU/CW 65% 13% 6% 16%
North Carolina 55 (modified) primary proprtnl 66% 10% 8% 11%
West Virginia 31 (modified) primary proprtnl 70% 12% 6% 11%
May 15 63 Nebraska ‡ 35 (nonbinding) primary Conv 71% 14% 5% 10%
Oregon 28 (closed) primary proprtnl 72% 10% 6% 13%
May 18-19 Minnesota
state convention
40 (nonbinding) caucus 6% 75%
Tue May 22 81 Arkansas 36 (open) primary proprtnl *
Kentucky 45 (closed) primary proprtnl
May 29 155 Texas 155 (open) primary proprtnl
Tue Jun 5 299 California 172 (closed) primary WTA
Montana 26 (nonbinding) primary 3
New Jersey 50 (modified) primary WTA
New Mexico 23 (closed) primary proprtnl
South Dakota 28 (closed) primary proprtnl
Tue Jun 26 40 Utah 40 (modified) primary WTA
14-Jul (35) Nebraska‡ (35) (binding) caucus Conv
Date to be
determind
Guam 9 N/A Romney Santorum Gingrich Paul
Northern
Marianne Islands
9 N/A
Total Deligates 2,286 681 270 157 79
August 27th-30th - 40th Republican National Convention
in Tampa Bay, Florida
A candidate must accumulate 1,144 delegate votes to win.
Source:
Results of the 2012 Republican Party presidential primaries and Primaries 2012 at Wikipedia
Preliminary 2012 Presidential Primary and Caucus Schedule at White House 2012
and Republican Delegate Allocation at TheGreenPapers.com

proptnl - Delegates are allocated proportionally  
WTA - Winner-Take-All
AP/CW - At-large delegates are proportional, Congressional District delegates are Winner-Take-All
AP/CU - At-large delegates are proportional, Congressional District delegates are unbound
AU/CW - At-large delegates are unbound, Congressional District delegates are Winner-Take-All
Conv - The delegation will be elected on the floor of the state convention based on stated
              presidential preference.
Open - Anyone feom any Party or unaffiliated registartion can vote in either the primary or caucus.
Modified - Only registered Republicans and Registered Independent
                 or unafilated voters can vote in the primary or caucus.
Closed - Only registered Republicans can vote in the primary or caucus
* If any candidate receives more than 50% of the votes it becomes a WTA contest.
# If any candidate receives more than 66% of the votes it becomes a Winner-take-all contest.
1 The state, district or territory convention can vote to bind some or all of the delegates
3 This is simply a high-profile strawpoll. The real contest happens later.
N/A - Caucus process can produce both pledged and unpledged convention delegates, depending on the party rules of the various states.
Some states follow with a state convention
In Pennsylvania each Republican delegate is allowed to support the candidate of their choice, irrespective of voting results in the GOP primary.
see Republican Party presidential primaries, 2012 - Wikipedia

Penalties:
Several States were penalized 50% of their delegates, because they violated Republican National Committee (RNC) rules such as moving primary dates up prior to Super Tuesday.

       Delegates
 State      Normal Penalty
Arizona        58    29
Florida        99    50
Michigan       59    30
New Hampshire  23    12
South Carolina 50    25
‡ Missouri will hold a primary on Feb. 7th which will not count toward delegates, a caucus on March 17th will count.
  Nebraska will do something similar on May 15 and July 14.
How it Works - (Delegates, Superdelegates, Open/Closed, Primary, Caucus)

Some of the rules are determined by the national committee for each party and some by state organizations.

How is the number of delegates per state determined?
There are 56 voting units; 50 states, which get all 4 categories of delegates (below), 5 Territories (Puerto Rico, Guam, American Samoa, U.S. Virgin Islands & Northern Marianas) and the District of Columbia, which only get base at-large and party delegates.
State delegate counts are reached based on a formula of:
a. Congressional Districts - 3 per district (435 districts) = 1,305;
b. Base at-large - 10 per state, 6 per territory = 560;
c. Party official delegates - 3 per state/territory) = 168;
        (Includes 132 superdelegates)
d. Bonus delegates are given to states that elect a Republican Governor and for each Republican U.S. Senator that represents their state (1 [e.g. New York] dto 34 [Texas] per state) = 396.
2012 Totals Before penalty: 2,429 delegates
Source: White House 2012
See also Republican Delegate Allocation | TheGreenPapers.com

Terms:

  • Proportional = Delegates are handed out based upon the percentage of their total votes
  • Winner-Take-All = The winner takes all of the states delegates to the convention
  • Winner-Take-All (by distrcit) = Delegates are handed out by the congressional districts candidates win in
  • Open = Anyone from any Party or unaffiliated registartion can vote in either the primary or caucus
  • Modified = Only registered Republicans and Registered Independent or unafilated voters can vote in the primary or caucus
  • Closed = Only registered Republicans can vote in the primary or caucus
  • Primary = Primaries are similar to general elections. Voters cast secret ballots at polling places, and can come and go as they please.
  • Caucus = Caucus' require voters to get together face-to-face and discuss who to vote for. They can last 15 minutes or several hours.
Who are the delegates?
Delegates are often party activists, local political leaders, or early supporters of a given candidate. A member of a county board or a local state representative or a state senator are frequently delegates.
See:
The Role of Delegates in the U.S. Presidential Nominating Process - Council on Foreign Relations

Superdelegates are party leaders and elected officials ("PLEOs"). All the superdelegates are free to support any candidate for the nomination.
For Republicans, in 2012, there are potentially 3 superdelegates in each state, consisting of the state chairman and two RNC committeemen/women. However, certain states either have no superdelegates or have them but whose votes are bound by the results of the state vote. In 2012, there are a total of 132 Republican superdelegates.

In some states, delegates are bound, or "pledged" to vote for the primary winner in voting at the national convention. In other states some or all delegates are "unpledged," and free to vote for any candidate they wish at the convention.

See:
The Green Papers Election 2000, 2004, 2008, 2012 Glossary


Polls in a given state can vary quite a bit in the weeks and days leading up to the primary. Here is an example for Iowa.
Iowa Caucus' (Polls of people likely to vote)
Poll/Results Date Romney Paul Santorum Gingrich Perry Bachman Huntsman other
CNN 28-Dec 25% 22% 16% 14% 11% 9% 1%
Insider Advantage * 29-Dec 17% 17% 13% 17% 11% 12% 3%
Rasmussen 29-Dec 23% 22% 16% 13% 13% 5% 3%
NBC News/Marist 30-Dec 23% 21% 15% 13% 14% 6% 2%
Des Moines Register 31-Dec 24% 22% 15% 12% 11% 7% 2%
Insider Advantage 2-Jan 23% 22% 18% 16% 10% 6% 2%
PPP (D) 2-Jan 19% 20% 18% 14% 10% 8% 4%
Average * 23% 22% 16% 14% 12% 7% 2% 5%
Results 3-Jan
Entrance Polls 8:30 PM 24% 22% 24% 13% 9% 5% 1%
Daily Kos LiveBlog 7:15 PM
48% Reporting
23.8% 21.9% 24.4%
MSNBC 10:40 PM
98% Reporting
29,657 25,926 29,662
Final † 29,805
24.53%
21.4% 29,839
24.56%
13.3% 10.3% 5.0% 0.6% 0.3%
* Dec. 29 Insider Advantage excluded from Average calculation
† Romney was originally declared the winner 30,015 (24.55%) to 30,007 (24.54%), but two weeks later on Jan. 18, the Iowa GOP said certified results showed Santorum was ahead by 34 votes, but no official winner was declared because votes from eight precincts were missing. See Fox News

Daily Kos: Daily Kos Elections Iowa Republican caucuses liveblog thread #8


Classification - Moderate - Conservative
Who's the Most Conservative GOP Contender? A Candidate Matrix - News - GOOD - August 13, 2011

"The candidates' matrix positions were determined by an algorithm of a one through five rating, five being the most conservative. The categories for fiscal issues were taxes, budget, corporation-friendliness, health care, and government programs. For social issues, they were abortion and sex, civil rights, war, environment, and immigration."



Ranked [By DonsNotes] from most moderate to most extreme.
1-Jon Huntsman, 2-Mitt Romney, 3-Ron Paul, 4-Herman Cain, 5-Michele Bachmann, 6-Rick Perry

 
"A Graphical Overview of the 2012 Republican Field", at the NY Times 538 blog, Feb. 2011


Nate Silver, who developed the chart, says,
"One dimension is obvious: we can classify the candidates from left to right, from relatively more moderate to relatively more conservative. But another dimension that is often salient in the primaries, and perhaps especially so for Republicans next year, is what we might think of as the insider/outsider axis: whether the candidate is viewed as part of the Republican establishment, or as a critic of it."

Speculated candidates, Palin, Huckabee, Daniels, Thune, Giuliani, Trump and Christie never entered the campaign.
As of Dec. 4, 2011, Pawlenty and Cain had withdrawn or suspended their campaigns.

The area of each candidate's circle is proportional to their perceived likelihood of winning the nomination, according to the Intrade betting market.
The color of each circle reflects the region the candidate is from: blue for the Northeast, red for the South, green for the Midwest, and yellow for the West.

Silver comments, "Gingrich is a difficult case, a former Speaker of the House (it's hard to get more establishment than that), led the 1994 Republican Revolution, but has more recently aligned himself with Tea Party groups."

As of Dec. 5, intrade says there is a 30% change that Palin, Trump, Bloomberg, Paul OR Bachmann will run for President as Independent or 3rd party candidate.


Rating the GOP candidates following the debate of - National Conservative | Examiner.com by Anthony Martin, 9/22/2011

Ratings for each candidate on the issues that are important to conservatives: the economy and jobs, gun rights, low taxes, runaway government spending and small government, abortion, foreign policy, the war on terror, national defense, stopping the onslaught of illegal aliens, and border security. The highest score is a 10, the lowest a 1.

Michele Bachmann-9, Herman Cain-8, Newt Gingrich-8, Rick Santorum-8, Ron Paul-7, Rick Perry-7, Gary Johnson-6, Mitt Romney-3, Jon Huntsman-1,


Rank Order the GOP Candidates Based on Likelihood to Plunge Us into Another War | Conservative Heritage Times - Oct. 6, 2011
1. Rick Santorum, 2. Newt Gingrich, 3. Michelle Bachmann, 4. Rick Perry, 5. Herman Cain, 6. Mitt Romney, 7. John Huntsman, 8. Gary Johnson, 9. Ron Paul
1 and 2 were easy and 7, 8 and 9 were easy. 3 through 6 were harder.
The Patriot's 2012 GOP Candidate Ratings | Frank Talk, October 28, 2011

We have assigned all candidates a Patriot Rating based on comprehensive analysis of many factors. Among these are their record, experience, capability, character, leadership qualifications and, of course, a demonstrated ability to abide by their prescribed oath "to support and defend" our Constitution. We evaluate their record of defending Essential Liberty, and their support for restoration of constitutional limits upon government -- including the judiciary -- the promotion of free enterprise, national defense and traditional American values. The rating is from 1 to 10, the higher the better. We do not rate candidates on "electability."

Newt Gingrich-6, Mitt Romney-6, Rick Perry-6, Herman Cain-5, Rick Santorum-4, Ron Paul-3, Michele Bachmann-3


Debates:
There were 18 debates thru the Florida debate on January 23.
See Presidential debate fatigue: How many is too many? - The Washington Post


Future Republican debate schedule | Washington Times Communities:

January 26  - Jacksonville, FL
February 22 - Mesa, Arizona
March 1     - Georgia
March 5     - Simi Valley, CA
March 19    - Portland, OR
Videos
YouTube
Fact check: GOP debate's history flubs - CBS News

Links:
Schedules at 2012 Election Central: Debates | Primary/caucus
Election 2012 Polling and News, Republican Presidential Candidates, Obama,
Positive Intensity | Gallup.com

WSJ.com: Candidates & Races - Election 2012 | Poll Tracker
Conservapedia - Presidential Election 2012 | Definition of a Conservative
Intrade Prediction Markets
2012 GOP News, Polls and Blogs for Republicans & Conservatives | Race42012.com
RealClearPolitics - Latest Polls
2012 Election Central
Tea Party Support Falls Even in Strongholds, Survey Finds - NYTimes.com, 11/29/11
Politics and Elections at PewResearch.org
CNN Political Ticker - CNN.com Blogs
Romney Strategy in Question WSJ.com 12/1/11

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last updated 20 May 2012